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Clay Link’s Main Event Draft and Player Shares in 2022

Last night I participated in the NFBC Main Event.

For me, and for most of those who play in the Main Event, it’s The Big One. I’ve had my setback in the Main Event for the past few years, and I’m determined to finish in the money this season.

It was also The Last One for me in 2022, at least as far as revamp leagues go. So, after discussing my Main Event draft, I will provide my list of player shares in the NFBC.

1.12 Kyle TuckerFROM, HOO

Pulling the No. 12 pick was a little disappointing, but as any longtime fantasy baseball player will tell you, you can win a league from any draft slot. While I was pretty shocked to have a chance at Walker Buehler at 12 overall, and was tempted, I got Tucker two places higher in my ranking and decided to set a speed base early was a top priority.

2.19 Mike TroutFROM THERE TO

None of the starting pitchers I wanted were there yet, so I took the bet on Trout. He seems to be in good health now. Looking back, I almost wish I had gone to Lucas Giolito instead. I didn’t have Giolito in this entry level, but selecting Trout is a leap of faith on health and SOME flights. His Hall of Fame resume and stolen bases history probably backs him up higher than he should be in the rotisserie leagues with a batting average.

Last night I participated in the NFBC Main Event.

For me, and for most of those who play in the Main Event, it’s The Big One. I’ve had my setback in the Main Event for the past few years, and I’m determined to finish in the money this season.

It was also The Last One for me in 2022, at least as far as revamp leagues go. So, after discussing my Main Event draft, I will provide my list of player shares in the NFBC.

1.12 Kyle TuckerFROM, HOO

Pulling the No. 12 pick was a little disappointing, but as any longtime fantasy baseball player will tell you, you can win a league from any draft slot. While I was pretty shocked to have a chance at Walker Buehler at 12 overall, and was tempted, I got Tucker two places higher in my ranking and decided to set a speed base early was a top priority.

2.19 Mike TroutFROM THERE TO

None of the starting pitchers I wanted were there yet, so I took the bet on Trout. He seems to be in good health now. Looking back, I almost wish I had gone to Lucas Giolito instead. I didn’t have Giolito in this entry level, but selecting Trout is a leap of faith on health and SOME flights. His Hall of Fame resume and stolen bases history probably backs him up higher than he should be in the rotisserie leagues with a batting average.

3.42 Will SmithC, LAD

I knew it was time to start building my pitching team, but all the remaining pitchers I had in one bucket, so I figured I’d grab one of the best receivers in the game, and then the starter that was still there on the back road. While still knowing that receiver stats have a scarcity bump, I think I’ve undervalued that bump in 15-team, two-receiver leagues in the past. I’ve decided to make the receiver a priority in the two receiver leagues this season. Smith is a guy I plan to have a great year on. By the way, Bobby Witt was in my lineup, but he was drafted 40th overall, before I had a chance to pick in the third round.

4.49 Logan WebbP, SF

Max Fried and Justin Verlander went between my picks, but Webb was still there. Derek Carty, creator of THE BAT and THE BAT X, recently mentioned on Twitter that his system has Webb as the #11 starter in the game from a context perspective. Oh, and the context for Webb isn’t so bad.

5.72 Alek ManoahP, TOR

Taking Manoah meant passing Julio Rodriguez, who made two choices later (74 overall), between Nick Castellanos and George Springer. I have some serious FOMO now and wish I could get this one back to take Rodriguez – I already have a ton of Manoah exposure.

6.79 Kevin GausmanP, TOR

Gausman was quite easily the best pitcher still available on my roster, so I went ahead and grabbed a third right arm. Even though I didn’t get paid for a starter in the first three rounds, I think I have a top three capable of winning the league.

7.102 Jake McGeeP, SF

I was really hoping that Corey Knebel would come back to me, even though I always knew it was a long time. Not liking any of the other closer options remaining, I decided to skip McGee, who seems to have the main closer role and the skills to stick with it. The relievers who went after I took McGee: Scott Barlow, Andrew Kittredge, Camilo Doval, Mark Melancon.

8.109 Carlos CorreaSS, MIN

This one was too good to pass up. I haven’t fielded Correa for a few years actually, but he’s going to play for another contract next winter and the team around him is decent.

9.132 Dylan CarlsonDE, STL

The Cardinals’ new lead hitter looks set for a big year. New Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol is high on Carlson’s potential this season. Carlson hasn’t raced in the majors at all so far, but he’s an above average runner and the role at the top of the order may open up opportunities for him to steal a bit. Marmol is confident we’ll see more power from Carlson, at the very least. According to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch:

“I would bet on that,” Marmol said when asked if Carlson could get more powerful. “He’s a guy who will continue to just add speed to what he’s doing. I think he’s laying a great foundation to just be a general hitter. And there’s a few notches he could turn to let him eat some more. Physical and confidence. I just feel like a release from my place here.

10.139 Amed RosarioSS, KEY

Needing more speed, this one makes sense to me. Rosario is also not a total zero with the bat.

11.162 Alexander KirkC, TOR

Pairing Kirk with Will Smith gives me one of the best catching duos in the league and potentially one of the best catching duos in the entire Main Event field. With Randal Grichuk traded to Colorado, Kirk should see plenty of time at DH for Toronto.

12.169 Antoine BenderP, MIA

I wanted Robert Suarez of the Padres a few rounds earlier, but having missed out, I decided to skip Bender here. It could be a lost choice. Skill doesn’t always win out when it comes to saves, but Bender seems like the best option for manager Don Mattingly right now. Hopefully Bender can convert his early chances and stay in the role.

13.192 Spencer Torkelson1B, TED

Torkelson looks ready to go and the Tigers are okay with it, so we’ll see what he can do from the jump.

14.199 Jeimer Candelario3B, TED

Come on Tigers I guess. I was hoping to add a third straight Detroit player in Casey Mize, but Mize went ahead of my 15th round pick.

15.222 Luis CastilloP, CIN

Here is my only reservation. I’ve found that’s all I can afford at one point in the Main Event. The discount on Castillo was high, and if I can use it for five months out of the year, it will pay off at that price.

16.229 Trey Mancini1B, BAL

Torkelson insurance and a top infielder.

17.252 Aaron AshbyP, MIL

I’m going to have to trade him for that first half week Thursday through Sunday, and he can be part of a six-man rotation in Milwaukee throughout the year, but I like to prioritize youth and on the rise in this range with my pitching team.

18.259 Nick LodoloP, CIN

More youth and advantages on my pitching team. Castillo insurance.

19.282 mark germanP, COL

I’m considering some sort of deal with a Marquez-Jonathan Loaisiga home/road peloton. It’s like doing a homework assignment, but I think if I do this job – mix and match and play matches correctly – I can extract a lot of fantastic value from Marquez.

20.289 Austin HaysFROM, BAL

It looked like a good price on a rookie outfielder with a touch of speed and maybe a lingering advantage below the box.

21.312 Luis Arraez2B/3B/OF, MIN

Far from a prototypical cleanup hitter, but a cleanup hitter nonetheless. At least it looks like that in Minnesota. It’s a nice batting order position, and three-position eligibility doesn’t hurt. Can he tap into more power?

22.319 David RobertsonP, HCC

It’s a closer dart that I like to throw in drafts at the moment, given Robertson’s past experience and the fact that manager David Ross has made it clear that the role is by no means the only one by Rowan Wick. Ross said he plans to go with a mix of pitchers in the ninth-inning role. I think Robertson could emerge early.

23.342 Hunter DozierDE, KC

Eno Sarris’ interest made me sniff out Dozier. I had to pinch my nose a bit to make this choice, but I needed another OF-eligible player and Dozier had a hot spring. Maybe there is something more here.

24.349 Jonathan LoaisigaP, NYY

One of my favorite targets in the 15+ leagues this winter, Loaisiga has some of the best things in the majors.

25.372 Dominique SmithDE, NYM

Is there still a chance it will be traded soon?

26.379 J.T. BrubakerP, PIT

It’s not an ace by any means, but Brubaker should have places at home where I can deploy it.

27.402 Luis CessaP, CIN

Is Cessa les Reds closer? I like Art Warren, but its price has become prohibitive. Cessa has zeroed many times since joining Cincinnati and he’s in that mix. For what it’s worth, I saw Cessa come closest to the Reds on MLB The Show 22!

28.409 Yandy Diaz1B/3B, VG

Double eligibility, and Jason Collette convinced me that Diaz might have a tier or two to come. Read Diaz’s outlook here on the site – it was written by Jason.

29.432 Edwin Rios1B, CONT

I’m watching a Smith/Diaz/Rios timeshare in the UT spot until an option emerges, hopefully as a regular option. Rios immediately heads to Coors to kick off 2022, although no one knows how many of those games he will start.

30.439 chris paddackP, DS

He’s not someone I intended to recruit, but Paddack showed flashes. We saw him play at a high level. Maybe if there’s a change of scenery here and his new team tweaks some things, Paddack could return to relevance.

With that, my seven NFBC drafts are in the books. This is what the top of my player share list looks like:

Michael Conforto will likely be cut this weekend, and Josh Rojas is also looking bad at this point. However, I’m thrilled with how things are looking for 2022. Good luck to you all!